Benchmark power curve

  • Press Releases

    High wholesale prices and negative pricing events forecasted to grow

    Research from Cornwall Insight’s Benchmark Power Curve, which forecasts the power market to 2045 under different net zero scenarios, highlights volatility in the wholesale power market is set to increase. Its central case scenario predicts that the standard deviation of hourly wholesale prices could reach £41.8/MWh by 2030. In the...

  • Press Releases

    Great Britain could become net exporter of power by 2040s

    Interconnection with EU nations, regardless of trading arrangements post-Brexit, will continue to play a pivotal role in driving wholesale power prices and system flexibility in the future. Modelling of the GB and EU markets by Cornwall Insight shows that increased interconnection through the 2020s and 2030s could provide a route...

  • Press Releases

    Forecasts show 46 GW increase of renewables technology capacity required by 2030

    Forecasts from Cornwall Insight’s ‘Benchmark power curve’ suggests that up to ~46GW of new build renewable technology  ̶ ~11GW onshore wind, ~10GW solar and ~25GW offshore wind  ̶  may need to be developed by 2030 to keep pace with 2050 net zero targets. This large-scale deployment of very low/zero marginal...

  • Press Releases

    Can market driven subsidy-free PPAs deliver deeper, wider decarbonisation?

    In a week in which the prospect of legislating for net-zero is again in the headlines, a solid prospectus for delivering deeper and wider power sector decarbonisation has never been more critical. A positive outcome of the closure of subsidy schemes has been the way in which resilient and adaptable...

  • Press Releases

    Capacity Market in oversupply but predicted to balance out by mid-2020s

    Earlier this month, Secretary of State for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy Greg Clark wrote to the Delivery Body to update the target procurement volumes to 2.7GW, from the 4.6GW initially recommended in 2018, for the replacement T-1 2019-20 capacity auction that is due to be held in June. This...

  • Press Releases

    GB can meet carbon budgets without new nuclear plants, but urgent policy direction is needed

    Findings from Cornwall Insight’s Benchmark Power Curve ­– a comprehensive market and asset-level power price modelling service – shows that meeting GB’s fourth and fifth carbon budgets without commissioning new nuclear capacity is a real possibility. Not only this, but the forecasts predict that meeting these targets can be achieved...