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Irish
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Energy storage and flexibility
The next episode: Qualification for T-4 Capacity auction
The final qualification results for the upcoming 2023/24 T-4 Capacity Auction were published on the 3 April. In this week’s blog, we consider what these qualification results tell us. Click here to view full article
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Low carbon generation
Sail away: Offshore wind vs. RESS
Last week the European Commission proposed a “Climate Law” enshrining in legislation the objective of achieving climate neutrality by 2050. In this week’s blog, we consider the role of wind in achieving this goal, and Irelands role in the European Green Deal. As we would expect, the green deal identifies...
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Energy storage and flexibility
In the balance: Analysing volatility in the BM
In this week’s blog, we focus on developments for the Balancing Market (BM) in the SEM. The BM is where the Transmission System Operator (TSO) can take actions to ensure the transmission system remains within operational parameters as supply and demand changes. Actions here ultimately determine the imbalance settlement price (ISP)...
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Energy storage and flexibility
Take on me… Proposed Balancing Mods
Since the new SEM go-live on 1 Oct 2018, a topic of heated discussion has been the volatility and extreme prices seen so far in the Balancing Market (BM) including very high prices and a greater than expected incidence of negative balancing prices. The highest prices seen in the balancing...
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Low carbon generation
Jump: Pricing in SEM up year on year
2018 has been an exciting year in SEM – certainly in the Cornwall Insight offices. The signature piece of work this year has been the introduction of I-SEM which, although a long time coming, was impactful. Getting I-SEM operational was one of the hallmark pieces of work for the sector....
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Low carbon generation
Don’t you (forget about me): a future without coal in SEM?
Record-setting daily wind generation output, increasing installed wind capacity and new renewable electricity support schemes all make for great headlines. However, the reality that 42% of generation in SEM last month came from renewables doesn’t feel like the exception, but the rule. This high, and importantly, consistent wind output...
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Low carbon generation
Carbon prices: a key driver of emissions reduction?
Minister for Communications, Climate Action and Environment Richard Bruton was reported in the Irish Times on 29 November 2018 as saying that Ireland is 95% off meeting its binding EU Greenhouse gas targets. Ireland’s draft National Energy and Climate Plan 2021-2030 (NECP) is due to be delivered to the European Commission by 31 December...
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Low carbon generation
Take the money and run: REFIT in I-SEM
With significant media coverage regarding our EU renewables targets (and the fact that we are missing them by a country mile), attention is drawn to how we reduce our dependence on fossils fuels in Ireland. The advent of I-SEM caused a certain amount of consternation in Ireland, as the primary...
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Energy storage and flexibility
Local hero: constraints and security of supply
Security of supply is back on the agenda. Last week saw the Commission for Regulation of Utilities (CRU) publish its Electricity Security of Supply Report 2018. Replicating the analysis from the long-awaited All-Island Generation Capacity Statement 2018-2027 (GCS), it showed Ireland facing potential deficits within the next 6-9 years. The very same...
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Low carbon generation
Thunderstruck: participant behaviour and auction outcome
The move to I-SEM was ultimately intended to create a level playing field for all market participants to result in more competition. Nothing drives competition quite like a constrained auction and, for many developers, the Renewable Energy Support Scheme (RESS) Auction in 2019 (hopefully!) and thereafter will be their first...
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Low carbon generation
Owner of a lonely heart: Intraday continuous liquidity
When the I-SEM detailed design was released, many participants were concerned about potential liquidity issues in the Intraday Continuous (IDC) market. It would seem that their concerns have merit. As the first few weeks of I-SEM have certainly displayed low volumes in comparison to the Day-Ahead Market (DAM) and three...
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Low carbon generation
Coming the long way: wind forecast and imbalance prices
Last week wind generation accounted for 56% of the generation mix on an all-island basis. The market also saw significant volatility in the Balancing Market (BM), with the Single Electricity Market Operator (SEMO) receiving pricing disputes related to early trading in the BM. While there has been much discussion about...
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Low carbon generation
Pour some sugar on me: T-4 CRM auction
With the introduction of I-SEM last week, other releases in the energy market may have gone unremarked, including the SEM Committee’s (SEMC) decision on the parameters for the first T-4 Capacity Remuneration Mechanism (CRM) auction. Making a robust investment case for new-build dispatchable assets has been a challenge in Ireland...
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Low carbon generation
Point Break: week 1 volatility in I-SEM
Since I-SEM go-live on Monday 1 October, the industry has been watching and waiting to see how the design holds up in real life. Although it is too soon to be able to identify trends or draw many conclusions, much of the discussion in the industry has centred around liquidity...
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Low carbon generation
Swan Lake… or choppy waters ahead? Credit risk management in I-SEM
As the SEM market moves towards its Swan Song we consider the implications of risk in the new markets we are joining. Although most of us are familiar with the concepts of credit risk and protecting oneself from the failure of others to pay us, I-SEM introduces a level of...
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Low carbon generation
House of the Rising Sun… solar’s time to shine?
The eagerly awaited results of the first Enduring Connection Policy (ECP-1) batch application process have finally been released. This is a new system for granting connection offers for storage capacity and new generation that succeeds the previous non-Group Processing Approach (non-GPA) and “Gate” systems. The grid application process has been...
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Energy storage and flexibility
Like a prayer: frequency market incentives
The confirmation that I-SEM will finally go live on 1 October this year finally arrived this week. The news turned our thoughts to how the new market will incentivise the correct market dynamics to ensure that I-SEM delivers value. Amove away from a dispatched network to a hybrid model between...
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Low carbon generation
Relight my fire: liquidity in the Irish PPA market
Previously we explored how the Irish Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) market is evolving in response to the I-SEM. We have extensively researched this market to understand PPA pricing, competition and contract structuring. This culminated in the release of our inaugural Irish PPA market report in July. However, overall market share...
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Energy storage and flexibility
Just can’t get enough: Irish grid stability on a changing system
Last week, EirGrid informed the market of another delay to the volume capped DS3 procurement. This mechanism is to allow the System Operator (SO) to obtain from the market system services necessary to balance the system. While the procurement delay may cause some disquiet in the market these commercial arrangements...
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Low carbon generation
Every rose has its thorn: the importance of public awareness to domestic solar PV take-up
Minister Naughten announced that a new scheme for rooftop solar for residential customers, starting on the 31st of July. The new scheme sees a grant administered by the Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland (SEAI) for domestic solar PV installation on houses built before 2011. The pilot grant will run until 2020...
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Low carbon generation
Sunny afternoon – Ireland’s wind drought
As the sun continues to bathe Ireland and Northern Ireland, spare a thought for the System Operator (SO). This enduring, recent (and unlikely) spell of good weather has a noticeable impacted on renewable generation across the island. What Met Éireann termed “dry, settled weather” is due to a high-pressure system...
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Home supply and services
Risin’ up – Suppliers increase domestic energy prices
Over recent weeks a number of domestic electricity suppliers in Ireland have announced price increases as a result of higher wholesale energy costs. In this week’s blog, we look at these increases and examine the drivers behind them. Click here to view full article
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Low carbon generation
More Than a Feeling: Emerging Trends in the PPA Market
Earlier this year we published a blog exploring the options for imbalance risk allocation within I-SEM Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs). In this, we explained that generators would be inclined to pass the full risk of imbalance to offtakers. This was due to their relevant market experience and the need for...
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Low carbon generation
Don’t let me down: I-SEM interconnector hedging
Interconnection is important for Ireland and Northern Ireland’s security of supply; Eirgrid’s most recently published Generation Capacity Statement showed capacity deficits by 2021 without the subsea connections between GB and the island of Ireland. Last week, the Commission for the Regulation of Utilities (CRU) launched a consultation on Element Power’s...
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Heat networks
Goodbye Yellow Brick Road: REFIT in I-SEM
Last week the Department of Communications, Climate Action & Environment (DCCAE) decided on the transition of REFIT to I-SEM. DCCAE confirmed that it will adopt a “Blended Approach” to the calculation of the Total Market Revenue (TMR), which is used to estimate the level of support provided under the scheme....
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Home supply and services
Irish Retail Market Shares – Search for the Hero
Just over seven years ago, price regulation in the domestic electricity market was fully removed. This allowed all suppliers the freedom to set their own tariff prices. In the domestic gas market, next July represents four years since Bord Gais was subject to price deregulation, opening up the gas market...
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Home supply and services
Same as it ever was – I-SEM transition and the domestic retail market
Up to ten weeks ago we would have expected to be a full week into the new I-SEM wholesale market. Most commentary on the I-SEM delay has focused on the impact on market systems and generators, but what of electricity suppliers? The transition to I-SEM offers an opportunity for tariff...
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Heat networks
Money for nothing – NI non-domestic RHI payments
The Northern Ireland non-domestic Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI) was introduced in November 2012. Its aim was to incentivise the uptake of renewable heating technologies by providing participants with subsidies to generate heat from renewable sources, such as biomass. Despite its best intentions, the failings of the NI RHI are now...
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Low carbon generation
Shoot to thrill – pricing volatility in I-SEM
Following last week’s discussion on managing balance responsibility under a PPA structure, it seems opportune to consider the potential volatility in the prices faced by those who find themselves out of balance. This week’s blog reviews GB imbalance pricing compares it to historical System Marginal Price (SMP) in the current...
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Low carbon generation
Are you gonna go my way? | SEMC consults on changes to T-4 capacity auction
On 14 May the SEM Committee (SEMC) published a consultation on the Capacity Renumeration Mechanism (CRM) focusing on interim arrangements, updating auction design and specific parameters for the first T-4 auction for capacity year 2022-23. It is an important document for potential bidders into the March 2019 auction as, if...